1. The result of the Pennsylvania elections was a surprise win since Lamb was able to defeat the Republican candidate (whose campaign had received large donations and an in-person Trump endorsement) in a place where Trump had won by a large margin.
2. Democratic swing is the difference between how a constituency voted in a special election results and how much the constituency leaned towards a party in the previous two presidential elections.
3. Alabama, Kansas, Pennsylvania have had the largest Democratic swings.
4. The Democratic lead according to the polls is much less than the Democratic lead shown in the results of the special elections, perhaps due to differences between the sample surveyed and actual voters.
5. Democrats are specifically more interested in midterms than Republicans.
6. They had donated 9 million USD, Trump had attempted to endorse Saccone a few days beforehand, tax cuts were promised, sanctuary cites replaced tax cuts as the main issue at stake.
7. They have improved by four percentage points.
8. I think it shows that voters may like Trump more than they like the Republican party and meant their votes in 2016 for Trump, not the Republican party.
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